It had already been a rough year for NFL underdogs, with point-spread pups covering at a 48% clip in the first 11 weeks of play. And then Week 12 happened.
The Thanksgiving Week slate was “Judgement Day” for dogs — like a skeleton clinging to a chain-link fence, T2 style. When the smoke settled, teams getting the points finished 4-12 against the spread in Week 12.
It was one of the worst weekly records for NFL underdogs in the history of tracking ATS results. That made for a fine run for the betting public — which gravitates toward the favorites — but served as a kick to the junk for anyone taking the points.
I guess I should consider myself lucky to escape with a 1-2 ATS finish for my NFL Underdogs column bets last week, but it has me wondering what’s in store for Week 13’s NFL picks?
Usually, the betting universe balances itself out with a little help from overzealous action on that trending topic, skewing the NFL odds just enough to tip the scales.
When NFL dogs flopped to an identical 4-12 ATS record in Week 12 of the 2017 season, they came barking back with a 9-7 ATS showing in Week 13, and six of those pups won outright.
Are NFL underdogs destined to repeat that history? Or, like Terminator taught us, is there no fate but what (picks) we make?
Last week: 1-2 ATSSeason: 19-15-2 ATS
