NFL Underdogs: NFL Odds, Picks, and Predictions Week 5

The first four weeks of the 2022 NFL season have been tighter than my waistband after a turkey dinner. And with Canadian Thanksgiving going down this weekend and NFL odds spreads shrinking by the game, football bettors could be popping the top button just to breathe on Sunday.

Over the past 22 seasons, there has been an average of 24.9 spreads of a field goal or shorter in the first four weeks, including 24 spreads of three or less between Week 1 and Week 4 in 2021. 

So far in 2022, we’ve had 31 spreads of a field goal or less. That’s tight.

The current standings paint a picture of parity, with 14 teams sitting 2-2 SU and only eight teams boasting a winning record this fall. We’ve also had 47 of 64 total games played be decided by…

Best NFL Sack Prop Picks for Week 4: Highsmith Takes Undermanned Texans O-Line to Task

Sack props are one of the most recent player prop markets to hit the board and there’s plenty of betting value if you break down the NFL odds every week. 

When it comes to Week 4 odds, I’m betting on a Steelers outside linebacker (no, not that one) to wreck a banged-up Texans line while also fading Saints edge Carl Granderson against an elite left tackle.

Then we get into Sunday Night Football, where I’m backing one of the best defensive players in the league to come away with another huge performance during prime-time. Here are my favorite NFL picks and sack props for Week 4.

NFL Week 13 Picks and Predictions: Top NFC Dogs Duel in Philly

It had already been a rough year for NFL underdogs, with point-spread pups covering at a 48% clip in the first 11 weeks of play. And then Week 12 happened.

The Thanksgiving Week slate was “Judgement Day” for dogs — like a skeleton clinging to a chain-link fence, T2 style. When the smoke settled, teams getting the points finished 4-12 against the spread in Week 12. 

It was one of the worst weekly records for NFL underdogs in the history of tracking ATS results. That made for a fine run for the betting public — which gravitates toward the favorites — but served as a kick to the junk for anyone taking the points.

I guess I should consider myself lucky to escape with a 1-2 ATS finish for my NFL Underdogs column bets l…

NFL Week 17 Odds and Betting Lines: Mahomes, Lamar, Stroud to Play on Netflix Christmas Day Games

The NFL made some big news in announcing that Netflix would be broadcasting both Christmas Day games… then wasted zero time announcing who would be playing.

The Week 17 NFL odds boast a Christmas Day doubleheader, starting with Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs taking on Russell Wilson and the Steelers… followed by Lamar Jackson and the Ravens visiting C.J. Stroud and the Texans.

The rest of the NFL odds for Week 17 include the San Francisco 49ers taking on the Miami Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium, and the Saints visiting Lambeau Field to battle Packers on MNF. 

These are the current NFL odds for Week 17, highlighting the best odds available from regulat…

2024-25 NFL Coach of the Year Award Odds: Vikings' O'Connell Climbs to the Top

Kevin O’Connell and the Minnesota Vikings have been one of the biggest early-season surprises, as the offensive guru has led the Vikes to a blazing 5-0 start.

However, his team isn’t the only one who has started fast, as first-year Washington Commanders HC Dan Quinn enters Week 7 at 4-2 — putting him second on the 2024-25 Coach of the Year odds board. See who else stands among the sideline’s elite in the latest NFL odds.

NFL Coach of the Year odds

Player

Kevin O’Connell

Report: Titans hiring Jaguars' Nick Holz as OC

The Tennessee Titans are hiring Nick Holz as their new offensive coordinator, ESPN reported Friday. Holz, 39, was the Jacksonville Jaguars' passing game coordinator last season. New Titans head coach Brian Callahan is expected to call the plays for the offense in 2024. Holz would replace Tim Kelly, fired last month along with several members of former head coach Mike Vrabel's staff. Callahan's father, Bill Callahan, was named the Titans' new offensive line coach on Thursday. When Bill Callahan was the head coach at Nebraska, he gave Holz his first college coaching job as an offensive quality control coach and video intern in 2007. Holz coached with the Oakland/Las Vegas Raiders in various capacities from 2012-21 before becoming the offensive coordinator at UN…

Misfiring Spain scramble for answers before must-win Slovakia game

“I don’t know what to say, honestly,” Álvaro Morata said, saying quite a lot. He had scored the opening goal he and they had so badly needed, running to the touchline and embracing the manager who had defended him, but ultimately it wasn’t enough. “I don’t care about the goal and wouldn’t if it was two; we drew and that’s all that matters, so I’m not happy,” the striker insisted at the end of Spain’s second draw, this time against Poland. You could see the sadness, hear it too. You could feel it.

The result left Spain third in Group E, “in a fine mess” according to the cover of Marca. But it was more than that, not just numbers. The selección had left to whistles and boos again. When it comes to pressure Morata ap…

Rashford’s reset at full tilt after Ten Hag reshapes United’s headspace

When picking over the Marcus Rashford renaissance, surely the feelgood story of the season, one that no football fan resents irrespective of allegiance, it is easy to linger on the biggest moments. The decisive goals for a resurgent Manchester United in the Premier League against Liverpool, Arsenal and Manchester City. The comeback strike for England at the World Cup against Iran with virtually his first touch at international level since the penalty miss in the Euro 2020 final. The two-goal salvo against Wales in the next tie, including the banging free-kick.

Rashford’s managers though, for club and country, are drawn to something else, a lower-profile flicker but one that captures his essence – the drive and clarity that has underpinne…

Erik ten Hag wrestles with Manchester United selection dilemmas and strategy

Manchester United’s late 1-0 win over Fulham in last Friday’s season opener showed concerning similarities with last year’s travails. Better were the crisp phases of passing and intelligent movement during the first half, but then came a falling away of shape, of dismal finishing – Bruno Fernandes being a chief culprit – and the reliance, again, on a moment rather than in-game domination to claim victory: the substitute Joshua Zirkzee’s deft 87th-minute strike finally beating Bernd Leno.

For the young Dutchman a dream start after his £35.8m transfer from Bologna. For his compatriot Erik ten Hag, the contemplation of more unwanted forward line profligacy, summed up by a pithy post-match demand that his charges “kill in the box�…

Kickers are people, too

I guess if you’re the San Francisco 49ers and you’re set at most positions, you can afford to take a kicker in the third round of the 2023 NFL Draft. The team selected Michigan’s Jake Moody, who owns the Wolverine, 99th overall. While this isn’t Sebastian Janikowski being drafted 17th overall by the Raiders in 2000, there’s a good chance Moody, the 2021 Lou Groza Award winner, would have still been on board later in the Draft. However, 49ers head coach Kyle Shanahan said the team had to make the move when it did. “…[W]hen you look at the history, the majority of kickers go in the fourth round. We didn’t have a fourth-round pick,” he said. “The guy was not going to be there in the fifth round.” Since 2000, only 49 kickers, including Moody, have even been draf…